Possible development direction of photovoltaic power stations in the future

1.Technological innovation drives efficiency improvement

New battery technology: Perovskite stacked cells, N-type TOPCon/HJT cells and other technologies will gradually replace traditional PERC cells, promote the conversion efficiency of components to exceed 25%, and reduce the cost per kilowatt-hour.

Intelligent and digital: AI algorithms, drone inspections and other intelligent operation and maintenance technologies will be popularized, realizing predictive maintenance and full life cycle management of power stations, and reducing operation and maintenance costs.

2. Distributed photovoltaics are accelerating popularization

Industrial and commercial-led growth: Industrial and commercial distributed photovoltaics will become the main market due to economic advantages (cost per kilowatt-hour 0.3-0.4 yuan) and policy support; household photovoltaics will move to the southern regions with superior lighting conditions.

Building integrated photovoltaics (BIPV): BIPV models that combine photovoltaic curtain walls, roofs, etc. with buildings will be applied on a large scale to promote the development of green buildings.

3. Deep integration of energy storage and multi-scenario application

Energy storage standardization: The policy requires that new photovoltaic projects be equipped with energy storage facilities, promote the development of technologies such as lithium iron phosphate batteries and solid-state batteries, and solve the problem of intermittent power generation .

Multi-scenario development: The integration of photovoltaics with agriculture, transportation, water surface and other scenarios (such as agricultural photovoltaic complementarity and floating photovoltaics) expands the application boundaries .

4. Market mechanism and policy optimization

Market-oriented reform of electricity prices: Implement "price subsidy separation", gradually withdraw subsidies, and distribute photovoltaics and energy storage to participate in electricity market transactions in a coordinated manner. The electricity price is determined by the supply and demand relationship .

Carbon neutrality goal drive: The construction of wind, light and storage integrated bases is accelerated, and the proportion of photovoltaics in the energy structure continues to increase, helping to achieve the "dual carbon" goal .

5. Global layout and technology output

Deepening international cooperation: Chinese photovoltaic companies participate in global energy transformation through technology output and industrial chain collaboration, and promote international standard setting and project cooperation .

Summary: In the future, photovoltaic power stations will focus on technology iteration, distributed penetration, energy storage integration and multi-scenario applications. The optimization of policies and market mechanisms will accelerate the upgrading of the industry towards high efficiency, intelligence and globalization.